In the last period I've staked on over bets when Real Madrid played at home. The reason is simple, they had on of the best squad a team ever had in the last decade. And also they are maybe in their best shape this season. Ok, they lost the first leg at Lyon, event if they had better possession, but on Santiago Bernabeu the things will be different. Now it's the second leg, Real will go in offensive from the first minute, how can any team to keep a clean sheet 2 games against Real Madrid in this period? I don't think Lyon's plan is to defend all the 90 minutes, so they will try to score. If they will score, Real needs at least 3 goals to qualify.

Also, if Real will score soon in the game, Lyon can't hope to reach the extra time or penalties. They really need to play some football tonight and score once ore more if they want a real chance for the quarter finals. Real Madrid won't stop for a second to defend, even if they will lead 2-0, Lyon can score in every moment and qualify. So, maybe if Real will have a 3 goals (at least) advantage they will defend. This game has a change to be a high scoring game, maybe more than 4 goals, and the odds offered for this bet are good enough.

Our prediction: Over 3.25, 6/10 @2.19 at 188Bet

Final result: 1 - 1, -6.00