Real Madrid vs Villarreal

There are not too many things to say about this bet. First of all, the main reason is that Villarreal will miss Godin, a good defender for them. They will have a hard day to play against Kaka, Higuian or Cristiano Ronaldo, as long as Real Madrid comes after a defeat in Champions League and must continue the pursuit of Barcelona.

Villarreal had a good result in away games, 1-1 on Nou Camp, but that was at the beginning of the year when the catalans weren't in their best form. the "yellow submarine" received 4 goals on Mestalla, so it's very possible to see some goals today for Real Madrid.

Ok, but with these reasons I should bet on Real Madrid -1.5 or something, where's the catch? Real Madrid will miss Garay and Pepe, so the only central defender will be Albiol. Even if they have a good midfield and strong attack, they can receive today a goal. We saw Barcelona against Atletico, when they had missed a lot of players in the defense. So, I see more possible a game with Villarreal scoring than Real winning 2-0 or 3-0.

Our prediction: Over 3, 7/10 @1.85 at Pinnacle

Final result: 6 - 2, +5.95

Barcelona vs Santander

The defeat against Atletico last week can make us to believe that Barca is not in form or they can have troubles winning the games right now. But they really missed a lot of players in that game. We can see the results before that game: 4-0 against Sevilla, 5-0 with Tenerife, 3-0 with Valladolid. That 2-1 win against Getafe on Nou Camp could be much worse for Getafe as Barcelona played without Pique since `23, at score 1-0 for Barcelona. Also, Getafe equalized in the last minute with a penalty goal. Barcelona will try to show the real face of the team by making a great game again at home. I really think that, if they will score soon in the game, then Racing can't defend all the game and must go in attack. So Barcelona will find a lot of spaces in their opponents' defense.

Racing comes after a defeat at home against Malaga, and missing the qualification in the Copa del Rey final. They could have the chance to play in Europe League next season, but they missed that chance.

Barcelona will still miss some players, but the defense will look much better today as it was last week. Also, players like Bojan, Pedro or Busquets are playing a good football and along side with Messi, Henry and Iniesta, they can make a good impression.

Our prediction: Barcelona -1.75 AH, 8/10 @1.75 at 188Bet

Final result: 4 - 0, +6.00

Atletico Madrid - Galatasaray

In normal conditions, there is no favorite team in this game. Both teams have the same style of playing, offensively with great offensive players like: Baros, Kewell, Keita, Elano for Galatasary and Aguero, Forlan, Reyes, Simao for Atletico. The main problem for Galatasary is that they will miss a lot of these offensive players. The incoming transfer Jo has to replace Baros, but he is also injured, Giovanni dos Santos is not adapted yet and he even might miss the first line up today.

Atletico comes after a great win against Barcelona, and they've showed great football. They have problems only in Primera, but they'll play the final of Copa del Rey, and have a good chance here to advance in Europe League. Great power attack for them, so I expect seeing at least 2 goals for Atletico today. With those offensive problems for Galatasaray, this bet cat be a winning one, however the odds could be better.

Our prediction: Atletico -1, 6/10 @2.15 at Pinnacle

Final result: 1 - 1, -6.00

Liverpool vs Unirea Urziceni

Ok, some of you can consider this is an optimistic bet, but let's check why should Liverpool win this game easily.
Unirea Urziceni played in Champions League, made 8 points in a group with Sevilla, Stuttgart and Rangers. Won 1-0 against Sevilla at home, 4-1 on Rangers ground, so they look like a good team which can put big problems to any team in Europe League. However, they lost their manager who went in Russia, lost 2 key players who finished their loans (Balan and Varga), and probably the most important thing, they've lost some of the enthusiasm they had at the beginning of the competition, as they were playing for the first time in Champions League.

One more thing is that they come after the winter break, still no official game this year for them, so they can have some problems in their playing style. With a new coach and no official game, you want to get a good result on Anfield? I don't think so, even if they will play defensively all the 90 minutes, Liverpool will find the way of scoring.

Also, let's look on their schedule in this period: they play with Liverpool, then with CFR Cluj, again with Liverpool, then with Rapid Bucuresti and Steaua Bucuresti. CFR, Rapid and Steaua are also playing like them to win the Romanian Liga 1 trophy. So, maybe their thoughts will be to play better in Liga 1 and try to win again the tropy and play again in Champions League next season. However, playing against Liverpool, even if they might not have too many chances, is a great opportunity, and they try to do their best.

Rafa Benitez will miss Torres, which will low the power attack of the English side, but there are a lot of good players in their squad like Gerrard or Kuyt.

Our prediction: Liverpool -1.75, 6/10 @2.15 at Pinnacle

Final result: 1 - 0, -6.00

Xerez vs Real Madrid

This game is very unbalanced as we're going to see the last team in Primera Division, a team which don't deserve playing in this league if we watch on their results till now. After 21 games, they are on the last place, with only 2 wins, 5 draws and 14 defeats! What a difference between this small team and Real Madrid who's playing for winning the Primera Division Trophy and also Cheampions League Trophy.

Ok, I will stop to praise Real Madrid, and see what obstacles will face today.
  1. They will play on a very bad ground, the grass lacks of quality, which will slow Real Madrid's attacks. But this will help Xerez? Yes, they can defeat in better conditions now. But they can score? On this ground, their slow attack will be much slower, so I see no goal for Xerez.
  2. Real Madrid can underestimate their opponents today as we've already saw, Xerez is the last team in Primera. If Real Madrid's players will play relaxed, they would face more problems today.
Hmm, only these 2 reasons I've found why Real Madrid would have a hard game. Let's see some reasons they should win easy this game.
  1. They are 5 points behind Barcelona who is in great form, showing a great football and creating the impression that they can win every game. So, Real Madrid will be enough motivated not losing points against this team. Also, they can't afford to play in the midweek Champions League game with a bad morale after a bad result today.
  2. Which players will play today for Real Madrid? Manuel Pellegrini will send in the first team his stars: Casillas, Sergio Ramos, Garay, Arbeloa, Marcelo, Kaka, Xabi Alonso, Diarra, Cristiano Ronaldo, Granero and Higuian. With this team, Real can score at least 2 times, and I've written above the reasons that Xerez can't score.
The odds are good in my opinion, I've expected a handicap line of 1.75 or even 2. Real Madrid will win this game and they'll hope for a good results of the rivals from Atletico Madrid.

Our prediction: Real -1.5 AH, 9/10 @1.81 at 188Bet

Final result: 0 - 3, +7.29

Manchester City vs Bolton (Goals bet)

Manchester City has big ambitions for this season, hoping for a Champions League place. However, their ambitions where shattered by Hull City in the last round. Hull won 2-1, but Man City made a good impression, having some score chances, and they should get more from that game. At home, they're having a good period, scoring a lot of goals and winning games: 2-1 with Chelsea, 4-3 with Sunderland, 2-0 against Stoke City and Portsmouth and a smashing 4-1 against Blackburn. I think they will continue scoring also in this game against Bolton, who received 21 goals in 10 away games. Man City has also a bad defense at home for a team who wants to play in Champions League, by receiving 14 goals in 11 games.

Bolton is fighting to avoid relegation this EPL season, so the motivation is consistent in every game till the end of the season. They don't play very bad, but they have very bad results in away games. However, they've managed to score 2 goals on Emirates and 1 goal on Old Trafford. Against Manchester City they could have some score chances.

Manchester City will miss Craig Bellamy, while Joleon Lescott and Micah Richards are doubtful for this game, but there are some chances for them to play. Vincent Kompany has a groin problem and won't be ready to play for Man City this round. Roque Santa Cruz is also back after a calf strain.

Bolton will miss some players, Gavin McCann, Ivan Klasnic, Gary Cahill, Valdimir Weiss, while Andy O'Brien and Fabrice Muamba are both doubtful.

Our prediction: Over 2.75, 7/10 @1.93 at Bet365

Final result: 2 - 0, -7.00

Manchester City vs Bolton (AH bet)

As I said above, I expect a high scoring game. In my opinion, the team which will score more is Man City, seeing at lest 2 goals from an offensive team like they are at home. If they would manage to make a very good defensive game after they score, the game can end with a 2-0 final score and the over 2.75 bet will be lost. However this bet will cover the stake we loose with that bet. If Bolton will score and Man City wins, this means a score of 2-1 or more (at least 3 goals), so we'll cover the stake we loose with this bet. But I hope for a final score of 3-1, 3-0, 3-2.

Our prediction: Man City -1.25 AH, 6/10 @2.04 at Pinnacle

Final result: 2 - 0, +6.24

Man Utd vs Portsmouth

What can I say about this game? Manchester United is in great form, winning on Emirates 3-1, at home against Man City also 3-1 or 4-0 against Hull. Rooney is a scoring machine, Nani is developing in a real good player, Berbatov, Carrick or Valencia are also valuable players. Man Utd has some levels above Portsmouth, a team with big troubles in the last period. Portsmouth will be most probably relegated at the end of the season, probably last placed in Premier League. They are losing a lot of games in away matches, receiving 19 goals and scoring only 5 in 12 games. But they are now playing on Old Trafford, and I see Man Utd scoring a lot today. I have no doubt that Man Utd will try to have an advance of at least 2 goals to have a restful final of the game, but they can score much more on a counter attack strategy. The odds seems very good in my opinion, I can't see this bet lost, maybe void, but not lost.

Our prediction: Man Utd -2 AH, 9/10 @1.85 at Gamebookers

Final result: 5 - 0, +7.65

Wolfsburg vs Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich is fighting with Leverkusen and Schalke 04 to win the Bundesliga trophy this season, but they seem to be in the better form than their opponents. Unbeaten since 26 September, when they played in away game against Hamburger, they had a really good period this year. The bad results were in the start of the season, but now they are in winning row of 7 games, scoring a lot of goals, having a great team with Ribery, Robben, Gomez, Olic and others. If they could keep this form for a long period, they'll win the Bundesliga this year. And I really see them continuing earning points.

Bayern will start this game with a full squad, no worries for van Gaal. Maybe, Ribery won't start the game, or he will be substituted in the second half, because he is not prepared yet to play 90 minutes.
Possible starting team: Butt – Lahm, van Buyten, Demichelis, Badstuber – Robben, van Bommel, Schweinsteiger, Mueller – Gomez, Olic

Wolfsburg are the former champions in Bundesliga, but this year they are playing very bad. Probably, the reason of such bad results is the leaving of Felix Magath at Schalke, a team which is performing very well now. They have a full squad for this game, good players, but bad tactics and I can't see them putting troubles to Bayern which is really playing great. If you can't win since the begin of November, and you loose at home against Koln or Dortmund, why Bayern shouldn't win this game?

Possible starting team: Lenz – Riether, Madlung, Barzagli, Schaefer – Hasebe, Josue, Gentner – Misimovic – Dzeko, Grafite

The odds are good for a victory of Bayern, but I choose this type of bet, because I put my confidence in a 2 goal difference winning game for Bayern.

Our prediction: Bayern -0.75, 6/10 @1.92 at 188Bet

Final result: 1 - 3, +5.52

Hull vs Chelsea

Chelsea is playing against Hull today as a postponed game. Coming after a hard win on Turf Moor (Burnley's stadium), scoring the winning goal in the latest minutes, Chelsea will be more cautious today if they want to keep the 4 points advance in Premier League. With Drogba returning from Africa Cup of Nations, they will have enough power attack to score. If they will score first, I think they will close the game and waiting the final whistle. Of course, they'll play their card on a counter attack style of play, but this is not a reason to see a rain of goals.

Chelsea probable first team: Chech, Cole, Terry, Alex, Ivanovic, Malouda, Lampard, Ballack, Joe Cole, Drogba, Anelka.

Hull is in a bad form in the last period, their last win is on 25 November. Also, they scored only a goal against good teams like Arsenal, Tottenham or Man Utd in this period. I see them having a lot of trouble passing through Chelsea's defense. Of couse, you can ask why I choose an under 2.75 bet instead of going on Chelsea wining with handicap. As I said above, Chelsea had a hard game against Burnley, so even if Hull won't score today, Chelsea will hardly score 2 or more goals. Chelsea wins 2-0, the under 2.75 bet is won, Chelsea won 2-1 or 3-0, we'll lost half of stake. But I really don't see a game with more than 2 goals.

Our prediction: Under 2.75, 6/10 @2.00 at Pinnacle

Final result: 1 - 1, +6.00

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