Expert Betting - Primera Division betting previews

Real Madrid is a scoring machine lately and we have all reasons to believe this will gonna be again an over game. First of all, each team playing against Real Madrid will be very motivated to score. Racing is 6 points above relegation zone, and we can say they are somehow saved. However they should make a good game today and give their best, because it's Real playing.

As I said, Los Blancos are scoring a lot of goals, and this game should be the same. They must take in consideration that it's possible to win 1-0 against Barcelona next week, but at the end of the season to have the same number of points. Then, the team scored more goals will have the advantage winning the trophy. Barcelona scored +3 goals against Bilbao, and this battle is tight against Real. We all say that if Real opens the score they don't go back and try to score as many goals as they can. Also, they have some defense issues, as Sergio Ramos will miss this game.

I won't try to find more reasons, the facts are quite simple for me. I know there will be a moment when Real won't score too much and the game will end with only 1 or two goals, but I really don't think now is the time.

The probable teams:
Racing Santander: Coltorti, Christian, Moraton, Torrejon, Pinillos, Munitis, Colsa, Lacen, Serrano, Canales, Tchite

Real Madrid: Casillas, Marcelo, Albiol, Arbeloa, Van der Vaart, Gago, Lassana Diarra, Granero, Cristiano Ronaldo, Higuian

Our prediction: Over 3, 7/10 @1.80 at Pinnacle

Final result: 0 - 2, -7.00

Early pick for this bet as the odds could go down in the next days. The goals line is maybe too high in this game, but normally after all the high scoring results Real Madrid made in latest games. I don't want to risk too much for this bet, 5 units will be enough to see if this will be a high scoring game as a lot will expect. Real plays only in Primera, no Champions League games, so they will try to win all the games remained for this season. They are in a 10 games winning streak, scoring 36 goals and receiving 10. So, 4.6 goals is the average per game in this period which is pretty high. Ok, we can't bet in this game only watching the latest results, but we can bet if we have more reasons. This is a local derby, both teams will make everything to win this game. Maybe Atletico will be glad to get 1 point, but we are sure that Real Madrid want all 3 points. I really think that Ronaldo, Higuian and the rest of the team won't disappoint us in this game and they will score 2,3 or more goals.

On the other hand, Atletico plays bad in away games, and even if they have a great squad, the results are the opposite. However, I think that in this game they will be motivated enough to play better and maybe score once or twice. Like Real Madrid, they also have some good players in attack like Forlan, Aguero or Reyes.

Our prediction: Over 3.5, 5/10 @2.05 at Bwin

Final result: 3 - 2, +5.25

I can't bet against Real Madrid in this game because they couldn't qualify in Champions League quarter finals. I think they deserved to qualify, but this is another problem. However, we can't compare Lyon with Valladolid, as the today hosts are 19th placed in Primera Division. They are in a bad period and I don't really think they will avoid relegation this season.

Real Madrid will be without Kaka, but with Cristiano Ronaldo and Higuian, playing more motivated now to win the Primera. I head that a cousin of Ronaldo, who was close to the portuguese, has died. I think this will be a reason for Ronaldo to try score a goal in this game. Higuain also must score to be forgiven by the fans after that huge scoring change against Lyon.

So, with no further Champions League games, Real Madrid will do their best in every remaining game this season and try to save the season by winning a trophy, maybe the most important for them (maybe!).

Our prediction: Real -1.5 AH, 7/10 @1.88 at Pinnacle

Final result: 1 - 4, +6.16

Well, we can see how well is playing Real Madrid on home ground, but they are now playing against Sevilla. The recent history showed us great games between these two teams playing on Bernabeu. I the last 3 Primera Division seasons, Real Madrid won twice (3-2 in 2007 and 3-1 in 2008), and Sevilla won the game in the last season (4-3). 

Our prediction: Over 3, 8/10 @1.82 at Pinnacle

Final result: 3 - 2, +6.56

There are not too many things to say about this bet. First of all, the main reason is that Villarreal will miss Godin, a good defender for them. They will have a hard day to play against Kaka, Higuian or Cristiano Ronaldo, as long as Real Madrid comes after a defeat in Champions League and must continue the pursuit of Barcelona.

Villarreal had a good result in away games, 1-1 on Nou Camp, but that was at the beginning of the year when the catalans weren't in their best form. the "yellow submarine" received 4 goals on Mestalla, so it's very possible to see some goals today for Real Madrid.

Ok, but with these reasons I should bet on Real Madrid -1.5 or something, where's the catch? Real Madrid will miss Garay and Pepe, so the only central defender will be Albiol. Even if they have a good midfield and strong attack, they can receive today a goal. We saw Barcelona against Atletico, when they had missed a lot of players in the defense. So, I see more possible a game with Villarreal scoring than Real winning 2-0 or 3-0.

Our prediction: Over 3, 7/10 @1.85 at Pinnacle

Final result: 6 - 2, +5.95