Lazio vs AS Roma

AS Roma had an incredible period and they have now the first chance winning the Serie A trophy. Probably, Lazio will be the team which decides the winner as they will play with Roma today and also with Inter at the beginning of May. In this derby, Lazio won the last 3 games when they where hosts. Even if Lazio is safe for the moment and probably will avoid relegation, they will be motivated to win this game and stop AS Roma winning the trophy, being known the rivality between these teams. However, I don't think they have the value for this. AS Roma is in great form, has a good team and the good news for them is that all their best players are fit and ready to play. If they will prepare well the tactics they can win not only against Lazio, but against any team in Serie A. I really think that they deserve to win the trophy, and maybe they'll do in the end.

Lazio will miss Matuzalem and Foggia for this game, but they have enough substitutes for them, having a balanced squad. They don't score too much, and also have a good defense, but AS Roma has a great attack. If Roma scores first, they will have a lot of counter attack chances as Lazio will need to attack. I think AS Roma's defense should be improved for next season, but I hope they can face the veteran Rocchi for this game.

Probable teams:
Lazio: Muslera, Dias, Stendardo, Radu, Lichsteiner, Brocchi, Ledesma, Mauri, Kolarev, Rocchi, Floccari

Roma: Julio Sergio, Cassetti, Juan, Burdisso, Riise, Perotta, Pizarro, De Rossi, Totti, Toni, Vucinic

Our prediction: AS Roma to win, 6/10 @2.04 at Pinnacle

Final result: 1 - 2, +6.24

Inter vs Livorno

We have here the champions of latest seasons playing against Livorno, last placed in Serie A. If Livorno tries to get some points to avoid relegation (which is possible), Inter should recover after all bad results they had in last period and win some vital points in this game. They had a big advantage a few months ago and looked that they'll be again the winners in Serie A. However, AC Milan and AS Roma are fighting for the first place and if Inter continues to loose points, probably they will loose also the title.

In my opinion this game will obviously end with a home win, but we need at least 2 goal difference to get some profit with this bet. Mourinho is a winner and I don't think he will missed the chance to win this trophy and he'll motivate his players in every game since now. CSKA Moscow is maybe the easiest opponent in Champions League they could have, so they will have the mental strength to win games also Serie A. If they win this game with 2 or more goals difference, their morale will be raised and probably they'll be back with more good results in the coming games.

I noticed some missing players for Inter, like Sneijder, Santon or Stankovic. However, they have a lot of good substitutes for these players. On the other side, Livorno will miss Moro and Bergvold.

Even if per total I don't like how teams coached by Mourinho are playing, I must admit that he is a good coach and maybe most important, he gets a lot of trophies. I'm confident here that Inter won't disappoint their fans and the guys who are betting on them in this game.

Our prediction: Inter -1.75, 7/10 @2.08 at Bet365

Final result: 3 - 0, +7.56

Juventus vs Siena

Juventus has a good opportunity today to get the 4th place in Serie A, playing at home against last placed Siena. Palermo, 4th place in this moment, has a hard game against Udinese, in away ground.

I expected a handicap of 1.5 for this game, and this is one of the main reasons taking this bet - a good value. Of course, the odds could be so high because of the good results Siena made in the last games. Juventus was playing in Europe League and won 3-1 against Fulham, a win which gives them good chances of getting in the text round.

Siena won last 3 away games, against Livorno and Chievo, so good results for them in last period. In all other away games, except first round, they've lost all games. With 10 defeats in away games, scores like 4-1 against Sampdoria, 4-2 against Genoa, 4-3 against Internazionale or 4-0 against AC Milan show us a weak team.

In the last 11 games between these teams, Juventus won 10 and lost only one. However that game was at the end of the season, when Juventus were 3rd placed, without chances to go down or up. So, the history shows us that Juventus had some easy wins against Siena, they scored 25 goals and received only 4.

Our prediction: Juventus -1.25, 5/10 @2.02 at 188Bet

Final result: 3 - 3, -5.00

Livorno vs AS Roma

Without Totti and Vucinic, the odds for an over game here are low. However, AS Roma is good team, scoring a lot of goals, and even without these 2 players they can score against a team which is struggling to avoid relegation. Toni has a good chance here to show us again that he really is a topscorer. I think Roma will score at least goal without too many problems. Depending on the time they score, or if Livorno will score, we can see more goals for Roma.

Livorno, 18th placed, is fighting to avoid relegation and I don't think they will defend all the game and be pleased with only 1 point. They need to attack to win 3 points if they want to play next season again in Serie A.

I think we can see at least 2 goals for this game, and with a little bit luck maybe we'll see 3, or who knows, more than 3.

Our prediction: Over 2.25, 8/10 @1.91 at Pinnacle

Final result: 3 - 3, +7.28

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